{"id":545,"date":"2017-01-24T10:07:29","date_gmt":"2017-01-24T18:07:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/?p=545"},"modified":"2018-10-23T11:03:23","modified_gmt":"2018-10-23T19:03:23","slug":"the-real-reason-uw-mens-basketball-is-struggling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/2017\/01\/24\/the-real-reason-uw-mens-basketball-is-struggling\/","title":{"rendered":"The Real Reason UW Men&#8217;s Basketball is Struggling*"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Barring a miraculous victory in the Pac-12 Tournament, I&#8217;m sad to report that the Washington men&#8217;s basketball team will not play in this year&#8217;s NCAA tournament. That means this season will almost certainly continue a peculiar trend that has seen the Huskies play in both a football bowl game and the NCAA tournament just once since the 1998-99 academic year.<\/p>\n<p>Over that 18-year span, UW has made six NCAA tournaments and played in 11 bowl games. Assuming the two were distributed equally, you&#8217;d expect three or more likely four years where the Huskies reached both. Yet it&#8217;s only happened the once: 2010-11, when <strong>Steve Sarkisian<\/strong> led the football team to its first bowl game since 2002-03 and the men&#8217;s basketball team lost to North Carolina in the round of 32.<\/p>\n<p>Graphing the performance of the two teams over that span (as measured by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cfb\/schools\/washington\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Sports-Reference.com&#8217;s<\/strong><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/schools\/washington\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>simple rating system<\/strong><\/a>) shows the relationship between Washington&#8217;s performance in the two main revenue sports has been closely &#8212; and inversely &#8212; linked.<\/p>\n<div id=\"viz1485280875257\" class=\"tableauPlaceholder\" style=\"position: relative;\"><noscript><a href='#'><img alt='Washington Revenue Sports Peformance ' src='https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/static\/images\/UW\/UWRevenueSportsPerformance\/Sheet1\/1_rss.png' style='border: none' \/><\/a><\/noscript><object class=\"tableauViz\" style=\"display: none;\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\"><param name=\"host_url\" value=\"https%3A%2F%2Fpublic.tableau.com%2F\" \/><param name=\"site_root\" value=\"\" \/><param name=\"name\" value=\"UWRevenueSportsPerformance\/Sheet1\" \/><param name=\"tabs\" value=\"no\" \/><param name=\"toolbar\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"static_image\" value=\"https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/static\/images\/UW\/UWRevenueSportsPerformance\/Sheet1\/1.png\" \/><param name=\"animate_transition\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_static_image\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_spinner\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_overlay\" value=\"yes\" \/><param name=\"display_count\" value=\"yes\" \/><\/object><\/div>\n<p><script type='text\/javascript'>                    var divElement = document.getElementById('viz1485280875257');                    var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0];                    vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*0.75)+'px';                    var scriptElement = document.createElement('script');                    scriptElement.src = 'https:\/\/public.tableau.com\/javascripts\/api\/viz_v1.js';                    vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);                <\/script><\/p>\n<p>(Bowl appearances are in purple, while NCAA tournament appearances have the circle filled in.)<\/p>\n<p>In fact, the correlation between the football SRS\u00a0and the men&#8217;s basketball SRS is minus-0.7, which suggests about half of the variation in one can be explained by variation in the other. Of the five best seasons for <strong>Lorenzo Romar&#8217;s<\/strong> teams, four have come when the football team was average or worse. And the three best years for the football team &#8212; Sarkisian&#8217;s last team, which went 9-4, and conference champions under <strong>Rick Neuheisel<\/strong> in 2000 and <strong>Chris Petersen<\/strong> this season &#8212; have all come when the men&#8217;s basketball team was below average.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m at a loss to explain this trend, <a href=\"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/2011\/11\/18\/never-the-twain-shall-meet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>which I first observed back in 2011<\/strong><\/a> when it looked like the Huskies were going to buck it for a second consecutive season. Alas, the men&#8217;s basketball team was left out of the NCAA tournament despite winning the Pac-12 during the regular season, an unprecedented event that testifies to the power of the football bowl jinx.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s no logical reason that succeeding in football should hurt the men&#8217;s basketball team and vice versa. If anything, their success probably means more resources for the athletic department as a whole. And before my arbitrary cutoff date, there was no relationship whatsoever between SRS for the two sports. So odds are this is nothing but a coincidence that will wash out over time. (Hence the asterisk on the title.) Still, it&#8217;s proven a remarkably durable one.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barring a miraculous victory in the Pac-12 Tournament, I&#8217;m sad to report that the Washington men&#8217;s basketball team will not play in this year&#8217;s NCAA tournament. That means this season will almost certainly continue a peculiar trend that has seen &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/2017\/01\/24\/the-real-reason-uw-mens-basketball-is-struggling\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[],"series":[],"class_list":["post-545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-huskyfb","category-huskymbb"],"episode_featured_image":"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/logo_p.jpg","episode_player_image":"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/peltoncast_itunes-1.jpg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":{"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"","label":"Apple Podcasts","class":"apple_podcasts","icon":"apple-podcasts.png"},"stitcher":{"key":"stitcher","url":"","label":"Stitcher","class":"stitcher","icon":"stitcher.png"},"google_podcasts":{"key":"google_podcasts","url":"","label":"Google Podcasts","class":"google_podcasts","icon":"google-podcasts.png"},"spotify":{"key":"spotify","url":"","label":"Spotify","class":"spotify","icon":"spotify.png"}},"rssFeedUrl":"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/feed\/podcast\/the-fabulous-peltoncast","embedCode":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"KhHnutDHaF\"><a href=\"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/2017\/01\/24\/the-real-reason-uw-mens-basketball-is-struggling\/\">The Real Reason UW Men&#8217;s Basketball is Struggling*<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"http:\/\/sonicscentral.com\/peltoncast\/2017\/01\/24\/the-real-reason-uw-mens-basketball-is-struggling\/embed\/#?secret=KhHnutDHaF\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" title=\"&#8220;The Real Reason UW Men&#8217;s Basketball is Struggling*&#8221; &#8212; The Fabulous Peltoncast\" data-secret=\"KhHnutDHaF\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n\/* <![CDATA[ *\/\n\/*! 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