Peltoncast Seahawks-Falcons Recap

A somber Peltoncast recaps the Seahawks’ season-ending 36-20 playoff loss at Atlanta, including a toast to the 2016 season, rationalizing the defeat, a debate on when the game was over and Tristan’s complaints about the refereeing.

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The Fabulous Peltoncast No. 37

After rounding up the latest in Seattle sports, including the UW men playing “Husky basketball” to blow out OSU, the Peltoncast has a full preview of Saturday’s Seahawks-Falcons playoff matchup including stats, tape analysis and more.

Contents

Intro – A random food discovery in Factoria
8:30 – A Husky-centric perspective on Clemson’s national championship win over Alabama
17:00 – Can UW men’s basketball carry over the successful defensive effort against Oregon State?
29:30 – Rounding up offseason news on the Sounders, UW football and the Mariners making a pair of trades
41:00 – Can the Seahawks stop the potent Atlanta offense … or beat the Falcons in a shootout?

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Links
Suprema’s Deli on Yelp
Dave Boling on how the Seahawks offensive line succeeded Saturday
Doug Farrar’s tape analysis of the Seahawks’ offensive line
Sheil Kapadia on takeaways from the first Seahawks-Falcons matchup

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Peltoncast Seahawks-Lions Recap

A special Peltoncast recaps the Seahawks’ wild-card round win over the Detroit Lions, highlighting strong efforts by the Seahawks’ offensive line, Thomas Rawls, Paul Richardson, Doug Baldwin and the defense playing “Seahawks football.”

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The Fabulous Peltoncast No. 36

After a contentious debate about the direction of the Husky men’s hoops program and a review of UW football’s future, the Peltoncast delivers a complete preview of the Seahawks’ playoff matchup Saturday with the Detroit Lions.

Contents

Intro – Toasting to Tristan‘s successes and introducing the idea of a Peltoncast fantasy league
8:30 – A rough start to Pac-12 play prompts us to revisit — and disagree about — the future of the UW men’s basketball program
38:30 – A quick wrap-up of the Huskies’ loss to Alabama in the Peach Bowl and a look ahead after four stars declared for the NFL Draft
51:00 – Reviewing our preseason NFL over-under line picks
1:03:00 – Previewing the Seahawks’ playoff matchup with the Detroit Lions, including why the Lions rate so poorly on pass defense, how has Matthew Stafford been different since his finger injury and can adding Devin Hester help the Seahawks?

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Does Coach Pete Have a Preparation Edge?

While National Media (my favorite publication) may apparently believe that Washington will beat Alabama because Alabama is overconfident, most observers are giving the Huskies little chance in today’s College Football Playoff semifinal, the Peach Bowl. To the extent people think Washington can compete with Alabama, it’s mostly because of Chris Petersen‘s bowl track record, including wins over Oklahoma and TCU in two previous major bowl games (both the Fiesta Bowl).

In this week’s episode of The Fabulous Peltoncast, which has a full preview of the matchup with Alabama, I took a look at whether this notion is grounded in reality. Let’s take a closer look at the numbers I cited.

To rate Petersen’s bowl performance, I used Sagarin ratings for the opponent and added the final margin to estimate how Sagarin would rate Petersen’s team for that game. I then compared that to the overall season rating for Boise State and Washington. The results:

On average, Petersen’s teams have played about two points per game better in Bowls than over the course of the regular season. Much of that difference, however, is attributable to a 32-point drubbing of Arizona State in the 2011 Maaco Las Vegas Bowl. The Broncos did outplay their season rating to beat TCU in 2009, but remarkably, season-long ratings suggest they should have beaten the Sooners more comfortably in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl than their dramatic overtime win.

The idea of Petersen’s preparation also extends to season openers, including wins in enemy territory against Georgia and Virginia Tech in showcase games on national TV and a home victory over Oregon. There, the evidence is even more mixed.

Again, one of those signature wins — at Virginia Tech — turned out to be completely predictable based on Boise State’s season-long performance. (Note that I gave Virginia Tech and Georgia the full home-field advantage despite the fact that those games were not played in their home stadiums, so you can subtract a point or so from those ratings if you’d like.)

If anything, season openers have been some of the worst games for Petersen teams recently. His last Boise team was crushed by UW in the first game at renovated Husky Stadium, and his first two Washington teams got a narrow win at Hawaii and lost back in Boise. Even this year’s 35-point win over Rutgers was relatively unimpressive given the way the two teams played the rest of the season. So on average, Petersen’s teams have been 1.7 points per game worse than overall in openers.

Ultimately, I don’t think there’s anything special about Petersen’s track record with time to prepare — at least not compared to his overall track record. The fact is Petersen is good with a week to prepare and a month to prepare. And it’s that overall ability (the Huskies rank second in the nation by ESPN’s Football Power Index efficiency ratings, 3.2 points behind Alabama) that gives UW a chance to compete, not the time before the game.

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The Fabulous Peltoncast No. 35

With the Huskies in Atlanta preparing for Saturday’s college football playoff semifinal, this week’s Peltoncast has a full Alabama preview. First, we discuss where the Seahawks stand after a disappointing home loss to Arizona.

Contents

Intro – Reviewing our year in beer and drinking Kevin‘s top beer of 2016
12:30 – Where Husky men’s hoops stands heading into conference play
23:30 – Lamenting the Seahawks missing an opportunity to maintain the No. 2 seed against Arizona, a brief preview of the banged-up 49ers and what else we want to happen on Sunday
49:00 – Why the Huskies might play closer with Alabama than the nation expects … and why they might not

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Links
The Ringer: How Washington can upset seemingly unbeatable Alabama
Sheil Kapadia: Earl Thomas’ absence becoming a bigger issue for the Seahawks

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Peltoncast 2016 Seattle Sports Recap

A special Peltoncast recaps the year in Seattle sports — perhaps the best ever? — by counting down the top 10 stories, naming the figure of the year and then revisiting bold predictions for 2016 before making new ones for 2017.

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Links
2013 Seattle sports recap

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The Fabulous Peltoncast No. 34

A holiday Peltoncast previews the Christmas Day NBA slate and takes a look at a possible turning point for Husky men’s hoops before considering Richard Sherman‘s playcalling protest and why the Cardinals have fallen off in 2016.

Contents

Intro – After losing the Peltoncast fantasy football playoff matchup, Kevin has to drink a sour beer — Goose Island Halia
10:30 – Previewing the Christmas Day NBA games and recapping a wild Blazers-Kings finish on Tuesday
33:00 – Husky men’s basketball wins a pair of home games against lesser foes and may have found a more passable defensive solution; Husky women’s hoops move into the top 10
43:00 – Was Sherman’s criticism of the Seahawks’ playcalling fair?
55:00 – Previewing the Arizona Cardinals, who have fallen far short of expectations in 2016

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The Fabulous Peltoncast No. 33

Before previewing the Seahawks’ Thursday night matchup with the L.A. Rams (but not the fired Jeff Fisher) and considering where the Seahawks stand, this week’s Peltoncast toasts the Sounders’ MLS Cup win and recaps Tuesday’s parade.

Contents

Intro – Toasting the Sounders’ MLS Cup championship with Prosecco
7:30 – MLS Cup recap, a review of the championship parade and what’s next going into the offseason
28:00 – Update on a possible KeyArena remodel
32:00 – Husky men’s basketball drops a pair of games and hopes to rally against lesser competition
46:00 – Previewing Seahawks-Rams on Thursday Night Football (without Fisher, alas) and also discussing the uncertain state of the Seahawks

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The Peltoncast 2016 Year in Music

Resuming a tradition, Kevin and Tristan review the Pitchfork top 10 songs of 2016 and share their own top 10s before being joined by Tristan’s son, Luca, to name his favorite bands. Stay tuned for the usual Peltoncast on Thursday.

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Links
Pitchfork’s top 10 songs of 2016
Kevin’s top 10 on Spotify
Tristan’s top songs of 2016 on Spotify
Tristan’s top songs of 2016 on Apple Music
2013 Year in Music

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